| Prop |
Yes % |
No % |
Undecided |
| 3 |
54 (47) |
35 (35) |
11(18) |
| 4 |
45 (49) |
43 (41) |
12 (10) |
| 10 |
49 |
39 |
12 |
| 12 |
58 |
29 |
13 |
Robert covered the Field numbers on prop 1A, but there was a bunch of information in the poll released yesterday (PDF). As you see to the right, data was released for 4 other props yesterday. From Prop 4, numbers from September are in parentheses, July for Prop 3. Prop 3, children's hospital bonds look safe to pass. While you'll get a slightly higher no percentage than you would get in a typical year because of the budget mess, it's hard to vote no against sick kids. There are plenty of reasons to vote no, including the fact that the allocation is a little heavy to non-public hospitals. However, it's sick kids, and that will pass.
The numbers are slightly improving on Proposition 4 as people learn that this is just Prop 73 and Prop 85 redux. I imagine there will be similar dynamics on Prop 4 as Prop 8. Turnout will be key and all that. Make some phone calls against Prop 4 tomorrow, if you get a chance. It might end up being a squeaker.
Now, another one that worries me: Prop 10. It currently leads by 10 points, a greater lead than Prop 1A currently holds. Unfortunately, T. Boone Pickens' "reprehensible scam" is nothing more than an attempt by one rich dude to raid our state budget. Please, tell all of your friends, relatives, and casual acquaintances to vote No on Prop 10. Every major environmental group as well as pretty much everybody else says No on 10. If this passes it will be because progressives support it. Currently Prop 10 is leading amongst self-described liberals by a wide margin. We need to make sure that we aren't duped by an oil man and his $19 million.
Oh, and Prop 12, a small veterans bond, is passing, and will pass on Tuesday.
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