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CA-38

Redistricting California 2010, v2.0: Let Only 6 Republicans Be Safe

by: MattTX

Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 19:07:43 PM PST

Taking into account some suggestions and comments, I made some changes to my previous attempt at redistricting California. I conceded an additional 2 seats to the GOP, which concomitantly makes a number of other seats more strongly Democratic. The additional 2 safe GOP seats are CA-4 and CA-48. Here's what version 2 looks like, overall:

Statewide Map, Version 2

For comparison, here is Version 1:

Statewide Map, Version 1

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 3053 words in story)

Redistricting California 2010: Let Only 4 Republicans Be Safe

by: MattTX

Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 08:18:33 AM PDT

I decided to try my hand at redistricting California's Congressional districts for 2010-2012, using Dave's Redistricting App. After playing around with it a bit, here's what the map I came up with looks like overall:

Here's the 2008 Obama/McCain vote in California, on the precinct level:

Read on for a detailed analysis and breakdown:

There's More... :: (3 Comments, 7958 words in story)

CA-38: She's Her Own Predatory Lender

by: David Dayen

Fri Feb 13, 2009 at 11:20:07 AM PST

Grace Napolitano is a fairly unassuming back-bencher Congresswoman from the Los Angeles area, who generally votes well on most issues.  Being in a heavily Democratic district, she hasn't faced much competition from Republicans in election cycles during her decade in Congress, so she's had to find somewhere for campaign contributions to go.  Like her pocket:

During a decade in Congress, California Representative Grace Napolitano has pocketed more than $200,000 of political contributions by charging as much as 18 percent interest on money she loaned to her own campaign.

The suburban Los Angeles Democrat made the $150,000 loan in 1998, when she was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Through Dec. 31, her campaign committee has used donations to pay Napolitano $221,780 of interest while reducing the principal by just $64,727, a review of her Federal Election Commission filings shows.

As recently as June 2008, Napolitano held a fundraiser asking supporters and political action committees for money to pay down the 1998 debt. Napolitano, her spokesman and her campaign's lawyers didn't respond to requests for comment [...]

For Napolitano, a 72-year-old grandmother of 14, the campaign IOU has been a profitable asset, far outperforming stocks since the loan started accruing interest in May 1998. Over the same period, an investment in the Standard & Poor's 500 stocks, with reinvested dividends, would have lost more than 7 percent, according to Bloomberg data.

A case could be made that if you're silly enough to contribute to Grace Napolitano in a D+20 district, you deserve to be fleeced.  But of course, the great majority of her contributors are corporate clients that are funneling personal contributions to her through interest payments on her initial loan.  It's really shocking, particularly considering that she represents a district with a 16% poverty rate.  

Napolitano is a solid vote but we can expect much better than this from our public officials.  Politics should never be an avenue for self-aggrandizement.

Discuss :: (2 Comments)

Progressive Punch: Jerry McNerney ranks 195th of 232

by: Brian Leubitz

Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 15:43:59 PM PDT

Woohoo! Jerry did it! Jerry McNerney has managed to become the most un-progressive Democrat of the entire California congressional delegation. For those keeping score at home, Jerry's 82.45 was about a half point lower than the next CA Dem, Jim Costa, that progressive stalwart, at 82.97. And for all the talk of Harman changing her ways, she's still worse than even Joe Baca, almost 7 points worse from a very safe Dem seat.

For all of you CA-45 fans, "moderate" Mary Bono came in with a stellar 4.42 Chips are Down score. So, for all the bluster of the SCHIP vote, she's still dancing the same jig as the rest of her party.

On thing must be said, the Speaker has done an excellent job at preserving unity amongst the caucus. Whether that means she's being too incremental and/or ineffective, or just laying down the law is the big question. The reason her approval rating, and the Congress in general, is down has a whole lot to do with the fact that little has changed on the Iraq front. So, would it be better to have a speaker who is more willing to take risks? Perhaps, but the impediment of the president always lingers over her head, veto pen in hand. So, whether the unity is really there, is an open question. Full data over the flip.

There's More... :: (19 Comments, 937 words in story)

Chips are down scorecard

by: Bob Brigham

Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 14:49:19 PM PDT

(I was working on a similar post, but I'll still post my own, with all CA data and some other miscellany. - promoted by Brian Leubitz)

The problem with most scorecards is that they are written by lobbyists concerned with always getting the votes of potential supporters. Thus, there is an equal weighting while in the real world not all votes are equal. In fact, regardless of everything else, some votes are dealbreakers and when they show up on scorecards as one of 12 votes or something, it looks silly. However, Progressive Punch has a new "when the chips are down" scorecard. After the flip is the ratings of CA's congressional delegation, in descending order.
There's More... :: (3 Comments, 88 words in story)

Vote to Condemn MoveOn Splits California's DC Democrats in Half

by: Bob Brigham

Wed Sep 26, 2007 at 16:29:06 PM PDT

I'm guessing that at tonight's Calitics' Actblue Celebrations there will be a lot of discussion about the votes to condemn MoveOn. The CA delegation split 50-50 in the senate and 16 yea and 17 nay in the house -- wedged successfully by the GOP in half. After the flip is the scorecard.
There's More... :: (19 Comments, 37 words in story)

Use It or Lose It California: Let's Begin

by: Lucas O'Connor

Thu Jun 07, 2007 at 15:14:22 PM PDT

Leading up to the election last November, Chris Bowers initiated the Use It or Lose It project, urging unopposed members of Congress to contribute their money to the DCCC in support of other competitive races.  In addition, I found 64 more districts with token opposition (Republican had raised less than $10,000 total).  California's districts, safely drawn as many of them are, were well represented on these two lists, and while many of California's Democrats were very supportive, not all of them were.  Our representatives have a responsibility to support the party as a whole whenever possible, and sitting on piles of cash is both a waste and a betrayal of good faith.  Here's a look at how the delegation performed so that we can start applying pressure where necessary.
There's More... :: (12 Comments, 679 words in story)
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