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10.1%

by: Robert Cruickshank

Fri Feb 27, 2009 at 12:08:30 PM PST


That's California's unemployment rate as of January, a 1.4 percentage point increase (i.e. an enormous leap) over the December numbers, and a big increase over the 6.1% rate as of January 2008.

The Employment Development Department will not release the county-based stats until next week, but based on earlier reports we can assume that the hardest-hit parts of the state are those that happen to be represented by Republicans - the Central Valley, which is suffering from a grapes of wrath kind of economic crisis as well as Sacramento, which is being hit hard by the Republican attack on government. Spending cuts have wide consequences.

This is the bitter harvest of 30 years of flawed  policy. Since 1978 California has not only embraced an economy based on debt, but thanks to Prop 13's tax rules and its conservative veto, has forced the state government to rely on that debt.

That has made California more vulnerable to this crisis than almost any other state in the union, aside perhaps from Michigan (which has been in a Depression for a few years now).

Just as President Obama reminded Americans earlier this week that the current crisis was created by Republican policy, we have to remember that because of the conservative veto and a Republican governor, we too are suffering.

Something to keep in mind when Meg Whitman or Steve Poizner come calling, offering cures worse than the disease.

Robert Cruickshank :: 10.1%
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10.1% | 9 comments
Clarification (0.00 / 0)
Sacramento isn't represented by Republicans. Sacramento proper is represented by Darrell Steinberg and Dave Jones. I think you meant that, but I just wanted to make it clearer.

Unemployment here so far hasn't been nearly as bad as other parts of the central valley, and it has actually tended in Sac County to be slightly lower lately than the state average, but I'm not sure whether that will continue to hold up. Certainly if the State starts really cutting jobs, Sacto will go down very fast. Furloughs and the like are certainly tightening belts already.

As for the state as a whole, this looks to be a rough, rough year. And I have to think that California's status as a trend-setter is going to hold just as true in terms of economic decline as it tends to be for other things. I don't see how California sinks into a depression without dragging the rest of the already troubled country with it.


Yes, that's right (0.00 / 0)
I was originally thinking of the Central Valley, and then as I wrote realized "oh yeah, Sacramento proper is getting hosed too". And Alyson Huber now represents the 10th AD, so I should probably be more precise.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
and there's mariko yamada in the 8th AD (0.00 / 0)
and lois wolk in the 5th SD.

surf putah, your friendly neighborhood central valley samizdat

[ Parent ]
cuts for how many years? (0.00 / 0)
I think it's time to point out two things: one, we've been cutting budgets for decades and yet still seem to "have problems." Sure, it doesn't help that voters vote for tons of credit card bond debt, and Arnie and Steve Westly promoted one early in Arnie's term that blew out the debt once again. But since at least the late 80s we've made cuts and jacked up fees and played games, and yet every year there's a situation caused by the logjam that it the constitution and voter imposed mandates that make it impossible for anyone to make any decisions.

The other thing is that thanks to Prop. 13, cities and counties are losing control of their budgets to Sacramento, and can't make decisions based on what their constituents want.

If San Francisco County wants to become Sweden West, fine, if that's what their voters want. If Kern County wants to down gov't in a bathtub, fine. At least let local voters make the call.

Can we call John Vasconcellos and beg him to help us out of this, and for forgiveness for allowing term limits to pass?

--
www.gregdewar.com


I guess we need a billionaire as Governor (0.00 / 0)
That's what the Yacht Party is offering.

Two MBA Billionaires as candidates for Governor.



No Real Housewives, but plenty of action at Orange County Progressive.

Come for the politics. Stay for dessert.


I aint helping any of them (0.00 / 0)
They are both anti-marriage equality. And Poizner received money from Howard Ahmanson. BLAH



[ Parent ]
Delusional thinking (0.00 / 0)
How anyone can blame California Republicans for the mess in Sacramento is beyond rationale comprehension.

Democrats run the state and Arnold for intent and purposes is a man without a political party.

Proposition 98 is strangling the budget process. How can you construct a zero based budget when 40% MUST be dedicated to education? With no return on investment, why is there no accountability clause to this mandate?

The state is now spending $111 billion dollars of which half is raised through the income tax ($47.9 B) and another $33.7B through a regressive Sales Tax that is destroying the purchasing power of most Californians!

While Democrats do nothing about raising the Corporation Tax or the Oil Severance Tax, the working poor become wards of the state financially through the lack of leadership of Democrats to reform Prop 13 as well as 98 in a responsble way that ends the annual budget gridlock.


So many conservative frames there... (0.00 / 0)
...that I don't know where to begin.

First, Dems don't control the budgeting process. The 2/3rds rule actually gives conservative Republicans that power.

Second, "zero based budgeting" is not and should not be the goal here. That's a conservative frame.

Third, Prop 98 isn't the "problem" unless you think the concept of public education is a "problem."

The sales tax is imperfect but I disagree with those who claim it is the most regressive solution out there (that would be spending cuts). And really, a slight increase in the sales tax does nothing to destroy purchasing power - that has instead been accomplished by the mass job losses and soaring health care costs that have been the product of 30 years of conservative policy.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave


[ Parent ]
10.1% | 9 comments
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