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Some more math

by: Dante Atkins

Mon Feb 16, 2009 at 13:03:11 PM PST


If tax cuts always stimulate growth, then if we reduce the tax rate to zero, economic growth should swell to infinity.  Right?

Sure, it sounds ridiculous.  But with the Republicans dedicating themselves to their religion of anti-tax zealotry, it's about time to find out how far they would be willing to take it.  Will there ever be a tax cut they wouldn't support, or a tax increase they would support?

Update by Robert: Even stranger math: The Senate Transportation Committee held a hearing not that long ago where Caltrans director Will Kempton explained that 276 infrastructure projects are going to be suspended tomorrow to save $3.7 billion dollars and prevent the state from defaulting on its loans. But as John Myers of KQED Capitol Notes explained, even stopping the projects costs money:

Kempton: will cost $199 million to shut projects down, $192 million to restart them.

That's $391 million that Republicans are costing the state of California by their intransigence - and that's just one example. When one totals up the cost of borrowing to keep the state afloat, we're well into the billions of dollars. And that money is, you guessed it, going to have to be repaid by taxpayers.

Myers also pointed out that the Senate Transportation Committee hearing was designed to try and get press coverage to force Republicans to vote for a deal. As Myers notes, "that overestimates the media's reach."

Who will tell the people?

Dante Atkins :: Some more math
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Some more math | 24 comments
Infinity and BEYOND (0.00 / 0)
As some astute observer said in another comment,

You need to have magical Republican thinking where we can eliminate all taxes and spend as much as we want. That's the ticket.

Californians like optimism and hope, not taxes, doom and gloom.



Other Costs (0.00 / 0)
I work for the University of California as a small cog in a very big machine but still manage to make a living as a computer drone. I earn about $20 an hour to work on the database that tracks the "extramural funds" (money not from the UC or the State).

If I count up the hours that I had to spend last year with the economic freeze the state put on spending, I come up with about 20. So this is $400 for my time. But there are other people involved. The people doing the research, the people managing the research, the people managing the finances, the lawyers so we do got sued, etc, etc. And I'm at the low end of the UC totem pole. There is a lot of time involved in just keeping track of this (job security!)so the UC is spending a lot just to keep track of what the clowns in Sacramento are doing.

If the legislature is so hot on cutting costs the let them and their staffs do their work as a volunteer effort and their local people pay for the salaries and expenses on an as needed basis. Make it all public, advertising even :) I know, it probably won't work, and so much of this is just CYA.

O well, when I get to be King...

k


Infinity (0.00 / 0)
If tax cuts always stimulate growth, then if we reduce the tax rate to zero, economic growth should swell to infinity.  Right?

No.  Suppose that the number of lost transactions is proportional to the tax, for example.  If the tax goes to zero, you lose zero transactions to taxes, but the number of transactions doesn't go to infinity.  Yet economic activity always rises as you reduce the tax.

(That's in fact a reasonable model, for small taxes.)

It's a little confused with the Laffer curve, which argues about government revenue from taxes.  If you have a 100% tax rate, the government gets zero revenue, because nothing taxable happens at that rate.  If you have a 0% tax rate, the government gets zero revenue, because the rate is zero.  Laffer's argument is that there is therefore a rate somewhere between 0% and 100% that maximizes government revenue; and therefore in addition that decreasing the rate sometimes increases revenue, depending only on whether you're below or above that maximum.


Some more math | 24 comments
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