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More Budget Intrigue

by: Brian Leubitz

Sat Feb 14, 2009 at 22:57:08 PM PST

A few quick updates.

First: Two great sources of Twitter updates. John Myers Capitol Notes here and Anthony Wright of Health Access here.

From the twitter updates I've seen so far, it looks like the Governor is leaning very, very hard on Cogdill, Ashburn and Dave Cox.  At this point it looks like Sen. Cox (R-Fair Oaks) is the key vote.  Incidentally, Maldanado is doing us no favors.  Good thing nobody ran against him last year.

Another interesting tidbit from the Capitol: Asm Chuck DeVore, (R-OC) and Republican candidate for Boxer's Senate seat, attempted a coup on Assembly Minority Leader Mike Villines.  It failed.

Update by Robert: DeVore resigned his post as whip in the aftermath of the apparent leadership struggle, thereby taking his ball and going home:

"For these reasons, I believe it is appropriate for me to resign as Chief Republican Whip, effective immediately.  I can no longer participate as a leader on a team that is preparing to make a fundamental mistake of colossal proportions.  For the sake of California I hope I am wrong - however, I fear I am right and that this tax increase and budget deal will result in more harm to the Golden State than good."

In the Byzantine world of Yacht Party politics this of course is good news for his chances of winning the party's nomination to get pummeled by Barbara Boxer in 2010.

Update by Brian: Per John Myers' tweets it appears Dave Cox is trying to get Prop 10 (tobacco tax) money diverted from children's health care programs. So far, it seems the Democrats are resisting. While we're speaking of kids, the CA Budget Project has a chart (PDF) of how much the deal would cut from K12 funding by district.

Update by Brian 6:30am: Well, it seems the legislators have pulled an all-nighter, as the Senate continues to be one vote short.  John Myers has been a real sport and tweeted throughout. Sen. Cox announced at about 1am that he was a no on the budget, despite the changes to Prop 10 that were done only to please him. On another note, apparently when the Assembly went into lockdown, they really went into lockdown, Assembly sergeants-at-arms at the doors and everything. Over in the Senate, they dimmed the lights.

This process has been a disaster.  The worst of everything that we've been going through for months, even years, with the Republicans.  This is a fancy stick-up, with a patina of legitimacy. Who knows if a deal will be reached, but at this point there can be no question from the High Broderists who caused this.  Every newspaper, every television station, every radio station should do what the Media News group did and call out the Republicans for their stickup of the state.  

Their sheer cowardice to face down their own interest groups is remarkable. It is truly a sad day when a group of elected leaders, when faced with a clear policy decision between what is good for the state and what is good for the politician, have decided that they choose themselves.  They have willingly played along with the anti-tax rigid ideology, and their capacity to actually lead on their own has withered away.

What happens from here is anybody's guess. Maybe they get the additional vote, maybe they don't.  Perhaps, Arnold will be willing to sign the majority budget agreement that the Democrats passed back in December now, because lord knows we cannot simply do nothing.  Arnold wanted to play brinksman, well here it is.  We are standing at the precipice, does he want to jump?

Update by Brian: Quick thought - how big is that LA Board of Supes victory by former Sen. Mark Ridley-Thomas.  If he were still in the Senate, rather than the seat being vacant until March, the deal would have gone through by now. You have to wonder whether maybe labor wishes they hadn't worked quite so hard to help him defeat Bernard Parks...

Brian Leubitz :: More Budget Intrigue
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Insanity (5.00 / 1)
That list of education cuts is mind-boggling. LA Unified is in line to lost $477 million between now and June 2010. Tustin Unified, which educated me for the first 18 years of my life and which employs a sizable chunk of my family, is in line for $15.7 million in cuts, which is significant for a district of around 90,000.

This must be the same kind of feeling Keynes felt upon reading the Treaty of Versailles.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

"The Economic Consequences Of The GOP" (0.00 / 0)
Think of it as J. Maynard's updated edition.

[ Parent ]
Yeah (0.00 / 0)
I have a post in mind on that subject, depending on whether or not this thing passes. It's a lot like 1919, really - the Versailles conference was always going to produce a shitty deal, but was that better than going back into the trenches?

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
In retrospect -- hard to tell (0.00 / 0)
Hitler killed a lot more people, directly and indirectly, than died in the trenches.  And had the Allies done something more reasonable in 1919, there's a good chance those people would never have died.

Just to keep things in proportion.  Short of the Great Quake that drops California in the Pacific, we're not talking those numbers.

In this case, I'm starting to get interested in what gets on the ballot for May.  Is there an opportunity here to fix the system, or is it just ratifying the kettle of rotten fish these people are mixing up tonight?

[ Parent ]
June looks more likely (0.00 / 0)
And that means there's no time for the public to qualify their own initiatives, as qualification must occur 131 days before an election (an early June special election is now less than 120 days away).

So far it's just going to be kettle of rotten fish. We'll have to game it out and see what the progressive response ought to be.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
progressive response is easy (0.00 / 0)
Unions especially and progressives in general will have to waste a giant pile of money playing defense. This tax on people who care is one the GOP was happy to support.

Twitter: @BobBrigham

[ Parent ]
Portraits In Lack Of Courage (0.00 / 0)
Looks like the GOP has boxed itself in, and fears getting eaten by the anti-tax-zombie crowd.

This is cowardice, and we need to talk about it that way.  They're not being inflexible.  They're being yellow.

Governor, The Republicans are Revolting (0.00 / 0)
Ja, That's right. They stink on ice.

OC Progressive is Gus Ayer, former Fountain Valley Council member.  

Fail. (5.00 / 1)
The biggest failure is that you never, NEVER announce a deal until you have the votes.  That's just elementary.  You get the votes first.  Horrible work by the entire Big 5, which clearly is a broken process.

It's been a debacle all around (0.00 / 0)
Of course, no need to mention that this crap wouldn't happen every year if we had majority rule.  Yet the fact is that the Big 5 process has shown itself to be a mess of colossal proportions.  We just can't keep doing this.

I think?

[ Parent ]
I think the Big 5 (5.00 / 1)
worked better before term limits set in.

[ Parent ]
so if they are just missing the SD-26 vote why can't they just wait? (0.00 / 0)
If they need the vote of Ridley-Thomas (soon to be Curren Price) to pass the budget why can't the state make some agreement to do some kind of holding pattern until they get the last vote on March 24th??


The Mad Professah Lectures

Because the state would pretty much be flat broke by then. (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
Not just March (0.00 / 0)
March is the primary.  I can't access the SOS site right now, but I think the general is in May.

Which makes it even harder to sit on your hands while the state goes bankrupt.

[ Parent ]
May 19, 2009 (0.00 / 0)

Looks like the reason they are going with May 19 for the statewide special election is so they can consolidate with LA City.  

[ Parent ]
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