| The Field Poll on the presidential race is expected out like...um a few minutes. I'm hearing right now that the race is now within the margin of error. If this is true, which at this point I am not able to confirm, this would be a tremendous showing of momentum for the Illinois Senator. Senator Clinton has dominated the polling in the state since well, forever.
Apparently, this was on the KTVU news at 10 here in San Francisco. I don't know if that means they violated the embargo or what not, but if you saw KTVU news at 10 just now, help us out here. The numbers I heard from a friend who saw it on Ch. 2 here in SF said that it was running at Clinton 36, Obama 34, Undecided 18.
At any rate, hard data will be all over the California media within a couple of hours, and likely posted at Field's archives shortly.
UPDATE: Yup, those numbers were correct. Other/Already voted also had 12%. You can now grab the details here (PDF). As CarlsbadDem points out in the comments, this is a huge surge for Obama, and a slight downward trend for Clinton. It looks like the key will be the number of DTSers who vote in the Democratic primary:
Registered Democrats, who the poll finds are accounting for 87% of those likely to vote in the Democratic primary, favor Clinton by six points, 37% to 31%. However, non-partisans who represent another 13% of likely Democratic primary voters now favor Obama by a five to three margin (54% to 32%).
Also of note in this poll are the general election matchups. They have Obama leading McCain 47-40, but Clinton at only 45-43. This is a marked difference from the December poll which showed very large leads (and slightly larger for Clinton) against McCain. I'm not sure why this is the case, other than perhaps McCain wasn't considered really viable in December before the New Hampshire primary.
I also want to point out that if you have marked your VBM ballot for a candidate that has dropped out, just bring your ballot to your regular precinct. They should just tear it up or mark it void and then give you a fresh regular ballot.