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Odds and Ends

by: Brian Leubitz

Thu Nov 02, 2006 at 09:40:27 AM PST


The Clock is ticking, there's tons of stuff going on, and I'm sick. Yuck.  But what can you do?  So, teasers: POLLS  on the props, Clinton across California, Charlie Brown stands up to Doolittle, Arnold Schwarzenegger has taken lots of special interest money, and The OC GOP is F'd, seriously, f'd up.

And more...see the extended.

Brian Leubitz :: Odds and Ends
  • Debra Bowen has some new radio ads
  • The Clinton campaign chronicles
    • The SF Chronicle notes that Bill's support is incredibly valuable to the Prop 87 campaign.
    • SNTP has pics of Bill Clinton's GOTV rally in Stockton.
    • The Stockton Record said over 1,000 people waited in the rain to see the Big Dog.
  • BlackBoxVoting has uncovered a way to vote multiple times. Oh yeah, these machines are in use in California, and McPherson doesn't think the voting machines are a problem. Sure, Bruce, sure.
  • Arnold has now raised over $113 million.   Wow, for somebody who can't be bought, the special interests have sure put a big down payment on purchasing Arnold.
  • Field Poll (PDF)   released their data on Props 85, 86, 87, and 90: 3.5% MoE
    • Prop 85 is slightly ahead, but within the MoE: 46% Yes, 43% No,  11% undecided
    • Prop 86 is tied: 45% Yes, 45% No, 10% Undecided
    • Prop 87 is slightly behind: 40% Yes, 44% No, 16% Undecided
    • Prop 90 is slightly behind: 35% Yes, 42% No, 23% undecided.
    • Hopefully some of those undecideds on 90 will be swayed by Arnold's rejection of Prop 90.
  • Also, the new Datamar poll (PDF) is out.  Again, take this one with a BIG grain of salt. Heck, they insist repeatedly that the DiFi race is closer than the governor's race.  Sorry, but something is wrong with your LV model. Seriously wrong
    • Gov: Arnold leads Phil 53-36
    • Senator: DiFi leads Dick "Pray for Me" Mountjoy 53-38
    • Bonds:
      • 1A (I know not a bond, but a bad budgeting amendment) leads 57-27
      • 1B(Transportation) and 1E (Disaster Preparedness) are comfortably ahead, 1C (Housing) and 1D (Schools) are struggling.
    • Other Props:
      • 83 (Jessica's Law), 84(Parks and Water Bonds) comfortably ahead, 88 (Parcel tax), 89 (Clean Money) are behind
      • 85 (Parental Notification), 86 (Health Care), 87 (Alternative energy) are too close to call
      • Prop 90 has a small lead, down a lot form Datamar's last poll. (46 Yes - 41 No)  Still folks, this one is still too close.  However, this is likely before Arnold's rejection of Prop 90.
  • The Clean Money Election Folks are having a bus tour around the state.  This is a real opportunity, no matter what the crazy Datamar poll says. Clean Money will increase the strength of people-powered politicians.  In the new system, rich people won't have more power than anybody else.  Clean money works (see Arizona and Maine). Schedule here.
  • CA-04: Brown said that the war was wrong in 2004 , and somehow that's attack on the troops? Direct quote from a Doolittle commercial: "When troops are under fire, there is no difference between supporting the troops and supporting their mission." Really, so people at home should never question our leaders when they go to war?  Sure, Doolittle sends his proxy to do that.  You see, Doolittle can't really attack a 26-year veteran, as he didn't serve at all.  The notion that Brown is somehow unpatriotic for questioning our leaders is preposterous.  Real patriotism is using our democracy to find the best policy.  We need to protect our troops from leaders like Cheney and Doolittle who avoided service yet criticize others who have served.
  • The Hoover poll (via CA Majority Report) shows all Dems ahead, except Phil and Cruz.  However, there are some super scary numbers in there about the props. 90 appears to be far ahead, but the question on these polls becomes really important, and I'm not convinced of any of these numbers.  I really don't think anybody has an idea of where the props are.
  • How very GOP of Mike Carona: He's demoting his primary challenger, Bill Hunt, for criticizing him during the election and talking to the media.  Oh, and Carona also demoted two other deputies that supported Hunt. So, that's not protected speech how?
  • The OC GOP doesn't like Arabs...or Cynthia McKinney. (LAT)
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    Odds and Ends | 3 comments
    Datamar & Field poll (0.00 / 0)
    Both the Field Poll and the Datamar Poll show very good news for those of us opposed to Prop. 90. Even in the questionable Datamar Poll the yes vote has droped from 61 percent to 46 percent. Most importantly, the TREND in the Datamar poll is against Prop. 90. Also in the Field Poll even Republicans are against Prop. 90 with 44 percent voting No, 40 percent voting Yes, and 16 percent undecided.

    yay! (0.00 / 0)
    90 passing was going to ruin a lot of my unrestrained joy at finally being rid of pombo

    [ Parent ]
    hope you get feeling better Brian (0.00 / 0)
    I got a nasty, nasty case of the flu (followed later by a REALLY bad sinus infection which I've never had before so I didn't recognize it and let it go way too long before seeing a doctor...bleck!) 3 days before the June runoff in CA-50. I was so mad!! All that buildup, only to not be able to help.

    Here's a tip, if you go through a box of kleenex every hour and/or produce 1 quart of snot every hour, go to the doctor!! =)

    Sorry if this grosses anyone out. After having kids and stuff, nothing really seems gross to me anymore.


    Odds and Ends | 3 comments
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