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New Internet Poll Shows Mixed Results

by: Todd Beeton

Wed Nov 01, 2006 at 08:29:41 AM PST


(Cross-posted from The California Courage Campaign - promoted by SFBrianCL)

Saladay has the results of a Polimetrix internet poll conducted for the Hoover Institution. Overall, Democrats are looking good downballot including Garamendi up by 6, Brown up by 21 and Bowen up by 7. At the top of the ticket, however, things are looking pretty static with Schwarzenegger up by 10.

As for the initiatives, if these numbers are to be believed (again, it's an internet poll so take with a grain of salt), the results give us some mixed news. While 85 would be defeated and 86 & 87 would be within a hair's breadth of passing, check out those horrendous Prop 89 and 90 numbers.

See the extended...
Todd Beeton :: New Internet Poll Shows Mixed Results

Prop. 85, parental notification: 42% yes, 51% no

Prop. 86, cigarette tax: 49% yes, 47% no

Prop. 87, oil tax: 49% yes, 44% no

Prop. 88, parcel tax: 31% yes, 60% no

Prop. 89, campaign finance: 35% yes, 52% no

Prop. 90, eminent domain: 58% yes, 28% no

As for who was selected to participate in the poll:

"Participating in the survey were 877 likely voters belonging to the PollingPoint Internet panel. Panelists were selected to match a random sample drawn from the California voter list by age, gender, race, party registration and residence. The margin of error for the survey estimates is approximately plus or minus 3.5%."

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I'm not convinced with this poll (0.00 / 0)
There are a few questions I have about the methodology. One, "chosen to match a random sample", so in other words, not a random sample.  Further, did they only pick people with Internet access? That would limit the poll quite a bit.

Finally, how did they ask the questions about the Props.  Did the question say "Prop 89: Limit Eminent Domain" as the Datamar poll did that got similar results, or did it recite the ballot language? 

I think?


Oops, I meant Prop 90:Limit Eminent Domain (0.00 / 0)


I think?

[ Parent ]
More terrible news for us... (0.00 / 0)
from the "gold standard", Field...

http://field.com/fie...

My blog


Twitter


ya, i'm getting to that...unfortunately (0.00 / 0)


I think?

[ Parent ]
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