| The Secretary of State shows 100% of precincts reporting, and Kamala Harris leads Steve Cooley by approximately 15,000 votes:
Harris: 3,292,836 (45.9%)
Cooley: 3,277,998 (45.7%)
Now the "100% precincts reporting" stat does not mean that every last vote has been counted. There remain potentially hundreds of thousands of uncounted late absentee ballots across the state. However, Harris's campaign believes - and I agree - that these ballots will likely break for her, and lead to her becoming the next Attorney General.
Today Harris declared victory and her campaign manager, Ace Smith, put out the following statement:
In spite of Steve Cooley's Dewey-esque declaration of victory at 11:00 pm Tuesday night - which was followed six hours later by a cancellation of a Wednesday morning "victory" press conference - San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris will be the next Attorney General of the State of California. Here is why:
• With 100% of precincts reporting, Kamala Harris has won the Election Day count by 14,838 votes, 45.9% to 45.7%.
• Uncounted ballots will only bolster Kamala Harris's lead, as they will reflect Harris's strong Election Day advantage.
• Considering that Cooley jumped out to a 50% to 42% lead on Tuesday night thanks to early absentee ballots - and considering where the vote total ended up - our model shows that Kamala Harris clearly won the vote on Election Day by 3%. The provisional ballots cast on Tuesday will reflect Harris's victory.
• The late absentee ballots will reflect Harris's late surge in the race - which was captured both in public and private polling.
This all seems quite sound to me, especially considering their evidence that Harris won on election day. Let's hope her lead holds. Not just because Dems would then have had a clean sweep of the statewide offices, but also because Steve Cooley is a crazy right-winger who shouldn't be allowed anywhere near a position of power like the AG's office.