LA Times has released their down-ballot polling data:.
Attorney General: 51% Brown (D), 34% Poochigian (R), 3% Other, 12% Don't Know
Treasurer: 50% Lockyer (D) 26% Parrish (R) 3% Other, 21% Don't Know
Insurance Commissioner: 43% Bustamante (D) 38% Poizner (R) 4% Other 15% Don't Know
Lieutenant Governor: 42% McClintock (R) 41% Garamendi (D) 3% Other, 14% Don't Know
Controller: 36% Chiang (D) 30% Strickland (R) 3% Other, 31% Don't Know
Secretary of State: 35% Bowen (D) 33% McPherson (R) 3% Other, 29% Don't Know
I see this as pretty good news. In most of the races there is a strong don't know category. Most of the state's independent voters will typically break for the Democrat. So, a tied poll is probably a good thing for the Democrat. McClintock, who has a one point lead, is ahead based on name recognition from the Recall. I'm guessing 42% is pretty much his ceiling. He's pretty darn conservative, too conservative for this state.
Now, I'm not totally in love with the LA Times polls, they seem to poll to the right. For example, the 13 point lead for Westly in the primary was an LA Times poll. Their track record ain't so hot.
One other point, the Times also came out with their governor's poll. It has a 17-point lead for Arnold at 50-33. As I said, this polls to the Right. But quite frankly 33% is a wildly low number for a Democrat in this state, even an unpopular Dem. However, if Angelides doesn't pick up some steam soon, there is a bit of a danger of turnout hurting Dem candidates. |
