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Oregon Voters Deliver Game-Changing Victory

by: Robert Cruickshank

Wed Jan 27, 2010 at 07:00:00 AM PST


Pundits like to claim California voters are anti-tax. Of course, we've raised various kinds of taxes at the state level, including the Prop 10 cigarette taxes in 1998, and the Prop 63 millionaire's tax for mental health programs passed in 2004. Still, even though our reputation remains, we've got nothing on Oregon, where no tax has been approved by statewide voters since 1930.

Until now.

Yesterday Oregon voters delivered a huge victory for progressives by approving Measures 66 and 67, raising taxes on incomes over $250,000 and large corporations to generate $733 million to close the state's budget deficit. The Oregon legislature had approved the taxes last summer, but a corporate/teabagger alliance organized to put it to voters in a referendum.

One wonders if the national media will cover this victory at all - much less at the levels of the Massachusetts Senate race. Although they'll almost certainly ignore it, the lessons for California are enormous and extremely important.

The opposition ran a well-funded campaign, led by Nike, Columbia Sportswear, and other big businesses. They were joined by Ari Fleischer's FreedomWorks and the libertarian publisher of the Oregonian, who used to be at the Orange County Register before it went belly-up. Together they ran a campaign arguing that the tax increases would worsen unemployment. But 55% of voters have rejected that, and instead showed that when a truly progressive campaign is waged, the right-wingers can be beaten. Even on taxes.

What it also shows is that progressive policies, supported by smart progressive organizing led by folks such as former US Senate candidate Steve Novick and the Oregon Bus Project, which reached out to younger voters and had a strong ground game, can beat well-funded, well-organized corporate/teabagger alliances.

Their message was deeply progressive:

These reforms protect nearly $1 billion in vital services like education, health care and public safety. These funds preserve class sizes, save jobs for teachers, provide seniors with in-home care, and provide health care for thousands of Oregonians through the Oregon Health Plan. In this time of economic crisis, we must protect those who have been hit the hardest - seniors, children and the unemployed - without putting more of a burden on the middle class.

It's a message that works nationally. And it's a message that'll work here in California. Voters don't like seeing their neighborhood schools close, or mass layoffs of teachers, or ending care for the disabled, or kicking kids off of health care. They don't want it, and are willing to raise taxes to prevent it.

All eyes now turn to Sacramento. Oregon proved, beyond any doubt, that anti-tax sentiment can be beaten by progressive taxes on the wealthy and corporations in order to save programs people like. The message could not possibly be any clearer. Voters want their programs saved, and are willing to tax the elite to do it.

Oregon netroots activist Carla Axtman may have had the best take on the victory:

Dear OR Legislators: When you take bold, progressive action--we have your back. Remember this night.

There is no reason now for California Democrats to not propose doing the same. We know that the 2/3rds rule is a huge obstacle that Oregon did not have. But if Democrats are to avoid making horrific choices like ending Healthy Families, it's time they took the fight to the Republicans, and made them defend these policies to the public by making them oppose progressive taxes.

We know a progressive message, selling progressive policy, backed by progressive organizing, can win. All California waits to see whether Sacramento Democrats know it too.

Robert Cruickshank :: Oregon Voters Deliver Game-Changing Victory
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Good Spin. (2.00 / 1)
While I share your opinion that the victory of measures 66 & 67 should be a significant signal to progressives, I wonder just how much of your analysis is the spin you would like to see applied.  Or, when you have a Tim Lincecum fast ball, is it really necessary to throw a spitter?

I am sure that any upscale young Oregonian filing a state tax return would be pleased if only his tax increase came at the $250k level.  It really starts at $125k for individual returns.

Also, Measure 67 raises the minimum income tax for all companies, not just big corporations, from the decades old (since 1931)$10 to $150.  While it might be satisfying to jab at Nike, there is a hit on everyone. Still, for the big corporations with Oregon earnings over $500,000 it raises the tax rate on profits by 1.3% and thus Nike's outrage. The facts are good enough w/o the distortions.  

Our kinfolk in Oregon should be considered as a shining example of what people will do and a rationale for a continued fight to get rid of two things holding us back: the 2/3 rule for tax increases and Prop 13.



Changing CA, one open mind at a time.  


Mad Props to (8.00 / 1)
Oregon Voters!

Now if the California legislature, The Democratic part that cares and actually does something will do the same as the Oregonian legislature did, Of course they will have to tweak It some as the California deficit is much bigger.


[ Parent ]
It's not spin (0.00 / 0)
Corporations and higher income folks have been getting a free ride in all of the budget cutting and we have 12.5% unemployment. I guess the billions in tax breaks that the corporations have been getting lately don't work.

I know lets try doing something like providing decent infrastructure and educated workers to entice corporations. Lets find a way to unchain workers who are forced to stay with their employers to obtain affordable health insurance so we can unleash their entrepreneurial energy. Lets do some of those instead of following the same old tread-worn Libertarian bullshit that we have been following for the last twenty or thirty years.  


[ Parent ]
A Hit (0.00 / 0)
If a tax of $150/year is considered "a hit" by a company, then that company is not going to be around very much longer anyway.

[ Parent ]
Well, there's 2/3rds (0.00 / 0)
And then there's the ballot. Why not run our own Prop 66/67?

Still Nothing from California News sites (0.00 / 0)
I just checked the SFGate, SacBee, SJMercury, LATimes, San Diego U-T. Nothing on their sites about the vote in Oregon. This is the problem that will be faced in something similar is placed on the ballot. Big bucks against from corporations and silence from their familiars in the media.

The LAT (0.00 / 0)
had something in the print edition.  Not much but something.

[ Parent ]
SacBee (0.00 / 0)
The SacBee had an article on page A6 of their print edition.  Small article, but larger than those news-in-brief bits.

[ Parent ]
Great post, Robert. (0.00 / 0)
It is what is needed in California.  

54% won't cut it (0.00 / 0)
Passing with 54% of the vote just won't cut it.  As we've seen in CA, that's the easy part.

in a statewide initiative (0.00 / 0)
54% is enough, unless i'm missing something.

[ Parent ]
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