[mobile site, backup mobile]
[SoapBlox Help]
Menu & About Calitics

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?

- About Calitics
- The Rules (Legal Stuff)
- Event Calendar
- Calitics' ActBlue Page
- Calitics RSS Feed
- Additional Advertisers


View All Calitics Tags Or Search with Google:
 
Web Calitics

Wire Services
Advertise Liberally Blue CA Ad Network

Datamar: A bizarre poll

by: Brian Leubitz

Mon Sep 18, 2006 at 01:00:00 AM PDT


Datamar has released a survey(PDF) on the statewide races.  First, I'm not a big fan of Datamar.  It tends to skew to the right.  It's traditionally a San Diego firm, with only a few scattered statewide polls.

So, to the polls:

Schwarzenegger, Feinstein Enjoy Comfortable Lead
Propositions 1A, 1B, 1E Passing, 1C, And 1D Failing
Propositions 83, 84, 85, 86, 90 Passing, 88, And 89 Failing 
Proposition 87 Too Close To Call

Check out the link for the full details.  But, as I said there are some serious problems with the poll.  I'm not against robo-polls, but here's the poll for Prop 90:

Q30. Proposition 90 is the Government Acquisition, Regulation of Private Property Initiative . It will prohibit state and local governments from condemning private property for other private uses. If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 90?

That's the whole question.  It gives a favorable response for over 61%. First, I know that we need to do more to define Prop 90.  I know that there will be the typical shift towards no.  But I just don't think that's all the information most voters will have heard about Prop 90 by the time the vote happens.

Oh, yeah, and by the way, that's where we come in.  tell all ov your friends to vote against Prop 90.  By the way, if you don't believe me about the questionable validity of this poll: Feinstein has only a 11 point lead in this poll.  In fact, Arnold's lead is bigger at 12.5 points.  Crazy...

Brian Leubitz :: Datamar: A bizarre poll
Tags: , , , , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

Datamar poll (0.00 / 0)
I agree with your analysis of the Datamar poll. This poll in particular seem to be weighed to the conservative side. But whats amazing to me is that given that fact, four of the bond measures are still passing and the tobacco tax is also passing. I wouldn't expect that in this kind of poll.

The Drift Towards Status Quo (0.00 / 0)
I'm a big proponent of the theory that eventually all props face a drift towards no.  Some whether the storm, but I suspect as we get closer to the election, Prop 86 will drift south, as will 87, and 90.  The bond measures will be an interesting study.  I'm not sure if anybody will be seriously mounting a big opposition campagin.  That being said, they are already in trouble.

I think?

[ Parent ]
November election (0.00 / 0)
I read in The California Kiplinger Letter that they predict that all the bond measures except the housing bond will pass, Prop. 84 will pass, the tobacco tax will pass, but the oil tax, the school parcel tax and Prop. 90 will lose.

Parcel tax is definitely going down (0.00 / 0)
They can't even get progressives behind that one.

I wouldn't be so confident about the bond props.  I've predicted that at least 2 would go down, likely the housing and education bonds.  I wouldn't be surprised if Prop 1A failed too.  That is just a bad law.  It's another set aside that we don't need.  The other bond props I'll likely vote yes.

I think?


[ Parent ]
Oops, I can't do math (0.00 / 0)
That lead is actually 22.2 points.  That's what we call crazy folks.  The only scenario I see that happening is if there's a turnout of about 100 people.  This poll is really bizarre.

I think?

Prop 1A (0.00 / 0)
Prop 1A will pass because people want their gas tax spent on transportation. As to whether the proposition is good policy, since when has that ever been a good guide on how people will vote? People often vote for things without realizing the long-term implications or reading the fine print, often resulting in problems that they whine about later. That why I'm nervous about Prop. 90.

true that (0.00 / 0)
How come bad policy always sounds so much better when described in three words on a ballot.  Oh right, you can't see the flaws.

We need initiative reform so people like Howard Rich can't buy a space on our ballot anymore.

I think?


[ Parent ]
Calitics in the Media
Archives & Bookings
The Calitics Radio Show
Calitics Premium Ads


Support Calitics:

Get discounted bestsellers at Barnes & Noble.com!

Advertisers


-->
California Friends
Shared Communities
Resources
California News
Progressive Organizations
The Big BlogRoll

Referrals
Technorati
Google Blogsearch

Daily Email Summary


Powered by: SoapBlox